The price of refined oil will be adjusted downwards by a large margin or the price will exceed RMB 100/tonne
On June 6, the eighth working day of the current round, Zhongyu Information estimated that the change rate of crude oil was -3.18%, crude oil was valued at 75.384 US dollars/barrel, which was 2.478 dollars less/barrel than the benchmark price, and it is expected to be finished at 24:00 on June 8. The retail price of oil was cut by 135 yuan/ton. The data calculated by Jinlian Chuangchuang shows that tomorrow, refined oil prices will be reduced by about RMB 120/t. From the results of the two calculations, the high probability of the price of refined oil was lowered, and the reduction range was greater than 100 yuan/ton.
It is reported that the United States has decided to impose sanctions on Iranian crude oil exports. The market anticipates a reduction in Iranian crude oil supply by 1 million barrels per day after the resumption of sanctions, and the weakening US dollar has given oil prices some support.
Analyst Yang Xiaofen of Zhongyu Information Oil Products Co., Ltd. told the “Securities Daily†reporter yesterday that crude oil rebounded yesterday and played a positive role in supporting the domestic oil products market. The overall decline in North China, Northeast China and East China regions slowed down, and only some high-priced products Mainly to make up for losses, the southwest and south China regions have steadily dropped by 50 yuan/ton to 100 yuan/ton. At present, the overall turnover is not optimistic. The main unit's shipping situation is not good, to stimulate transactions, and more to keep large Preferential policies.
Yang Xiaofen said that due to the decline in API US crude oil inventories and EIA inventories are expected to boost, it is expected that crude oil or deposits may rebound further in the short term, but it is difficult to reverse the expected reduction in refined oil prices. The price adjustment window is about to be implemented this Friday, which will certainly suppress oil prices. In addition to the weak demand, the gasoline and diesel oil market is expected to maintain a weak downward trend in the short term.
Jinlian Jiangna, a refined oil analyst, said in an interview with the “Securities Daily†reporter yesterday that the international crude oil futures fluctuated at a high level, and the rate of change maintained a negative range fluctuation. The retail price of refined oil products was reduced or cashed down. The news points to Empty. In terms of supply and demand, due to the impact of the Qingdao Shanghe Summit in June, part of Shandong's start-up load was reduced slightly, and the supply of refined oil may be reduced. At the same time, due to the increase in high-temperature weather around the country, the frequency of use of vehicle air conditioners has increased, driving gasoline demand to a certain extent. From a diesel point of view, agricultural oil consumption has increased relatively as the summer harvest season approaches. Entering the new sales month, the sales pressure of the main unit was postponed, but it is not ruled out that some units may advance sales. It is expected that the domestic gasoline and diesel market will stabilize or weaken, and the market trading atmosphere will continue to be light.
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